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Grisly Foundations
By Mir Muhammad Ali Talpur

The US Secretary of Defence Robert Gates told a congressional panel in May that the United States has military missions in the tribal area to go after Al Qaeda leaders hiding there.

At a hearing before the Senate Appropriations Committee, Mr. Gates said Al Qaeda had established training facilities in Fata and the extremist leaders based there also had links to terror cells in other parts of the world.

“We know that Al Qaeda has re-established itself in the Fata on the western border of Pakistan where they are training new recruits

“But we do have military operations that are planned … not just in North Waziristan and Iraq, but in other places as well, to go after Al Qaeda leadership,” he added. And Frances Townsend, Homeland Security Adviser to President Bush has said “Our job No 1 is to protect the American people. There are no options off the table”.

So the recent US pronouncements about striking ’actionable targets’ in Pakistan at their discretion cannot be ruled out as empty threats or simply attempts at putting pressure on Musharraf to do more to destroy the bases in which the Taliban find succour and refuge. It is an integral part of their strategy and they are as serious as serious can be for the simple reason that they are bogged down in Afghanistan for a foreseeable future, a future that gets bleaker by the day. Friends and allies don’t figure much in US strategy when it sees its interests taking a pounding at the hands of the rag tag Taliban which it had presumably defeated and dispersed with the high tech air war after the 9/11 and who it thought would be drowned in the billions that Karzai would get.

The big question is when and if US will actually carry out its threat of such drastic measures. If we look at the history we see that this action is not only possible but is inevitable. We could see US attacking these ’safe havens’ very soon. Why? Simply because US is afflicted by what Hannah Ardent has said in her book, “Lying in Politics: Reflections on the Pentagon Papers” and is quoted by Noam Chomsky in his book, “For Reasons of State” he says “in which she has discussed a variety of rather different irrational factors that impelled policy makers in Vietnam”. She says, “The ultimate aim” she concludes, “was neither power nor profit ... [nor] particular tangible interests,” but rather “image making, “something new in the huge arsenal of follies”. Now it is the neo-con image which is being made and this is vastly more dangerous than the 70s.

And what was the cost of that image making? Arundhati Roy in her foreword to Chomsky’s book tells us, “It was a war that lasted more than twelve years. Fifty eight thousand Americans and approximately two million Vietnamese, Cambodians and Laotians lost their lives. The US deployed half a million ground troops, dropped more than six million tons of bombs.

Why were Cambodia and Laos destroyed although they were not involved in fighting and were neutral? Only because they were considered sanctuaries for the Vietnamese fighters and similarly today FATA and Waziristan are considered active sanctuaries for Talibans. The Pentagon Papers tell “In January 1967 the Commander in Chief in Pacific expressed his concern to the Joint Chief of Staff over the infiltration through Cambodia and the importance of the “sanctuary’ as source of supplies, particularly rice”. The sanctuaries here are more than just rice suppliers. In the same year the Chief of Staff of the Republic of Vietnam said, “we have to solve the problem of Laos and Cambodia and the sanctuaries or the war might last 30 years”. I suppose the advice of Afghan government and Army won’t be different and neither will be the US reaction.

My prediction that we could see action very soon is based on the history of US approach to a ’lost war’ as it had done in Cambodia and Laos during its mauling by the brave Vietnamese people in the 60s and 70s. The military minds at the Strategic Command have always failed to consider the ’human factor’ in wars. They grossly miscalculated in Vietnam and now in Afghanistan and Iraq. US thinks it is losing the war in Afghanistan due to the ’safe havens’ that exist in FATA and Waziristan in the same way that it thought that they were losing the Vietnam War due to the ’safe havens’ in Cambodia and Laos at that time. US think the same solution will solve the problem though it hadn’t then.

The result of indiscriminate and brutal bombing of those countries didn’t effect the final outcome of the war in Vietnam as the images of fleeing US personnel from the roof of the US Embassy are one of the most telling images of the past century. And neither will it affect the outcome here. However the countries that came under its classification of ’safe havens’ are still suffering due to the ravages of its military and political strategies; here too sufferings will be on a unheard scale. Cambodia eventually ended up with the likes of Pol Pot, the fate that awaits this region could be more terrifying.

Cambodia or Kampuchea and Laos were neutral and yet couldn’t avoid the US aggression. We on the other hand are at an absolute disadvantage because the government here has sold its right to resist US aggression for the few measly dollars that have reluctantly left Uncle Sam’s pocket. They have paid only when certain conditions have been met or certain actions carried out; the payments have been performance related. The right to resist was forfeited with the threat from Armitage and the phone call from Colin Powell. The suddenness and comprehensiveness of submission and capitulation had left even that incorrigible bully flabbergasted and stupefied.

They have already gauged our responses and plumbed our depths by bombings innocents in Damadola and Bajaur. They know that Tasnim Aslam will politely ask them to refrain. They have never cared a whit for people any where and when they have ’to protect the American people’ they stop at no frontiers. So we will soon have an open season in the areas they have earmarked for destruction.

The frontier region and parts of Balochistan are littered with Al Qaeda ’safe havens’ and sanctuaries for which Pakistani government have been in constant denial. The US will have no second thoughts about bombing ’actionable targets’, that it considers Al-Qaeda hideouts; it should be pointed out that US always uses innocuous  terms for targets that are very much flesh and blood. They also invent terms like ’collateral damage’ to deprive the human casualties of the humanness and just make them a technical irrelevance.

Abdullah Mehsud’s being killed in Zhob is an indicator of the fact that the militants in Fata know that US is very soon going to start a war of drones, Predators and Hellfire missiles. Recent news reports tell about the exodus of people from Fata; “Thousands of villagers streamed out of Macha Mandakhel village, 40 km west of Miranshah, after the army warned it would be cracking down in the wake of an attack on a convoy which killed 12 soldiers last week. There are also reports that soldiers, fearful of suicide attacks, have opened fire on cars approaching their check posts too fast.”

National Intelligence Director Mike McConnell and Ms Townsend have both expressed the desire to first back Pakistan’s efforts to force the extremists out of the tribal region. This policy will leave the Army embroiled in a war of attrition against people it claims to be its citizen just to keep the US from carrying out strikes against targets there. And if these actions are not deemed sufficient for their needs then they will do the needful. If all the fighting and killing there to date has failed to appease Washington, then logically nothing less than total annihilation of people in the border region will be deemed sufficient by them.

Pakistan is caught between US and the militants who were first of trained and nurtured by the US to fight against the Soviet Union. It has no space to maneuver itself out of the fix it finds itself in; which is mostly of its own making. Even before they could initiate any action against the militants, the militants went on the offensive with a spate of suicide bombing aimed specifically at the armed forces. 

This will be a long drawn out war, with US using its high tech air power to dent and damage the Al Qaeda but the brunt of the militants attacks will be borne by the Pakistan Army at a huge human cost because the militants will not keep the theatre of war confined to the frontier regions alone. They will certainly try to demoralize the Army by attacking it and civilian population in cities of its choice. It is a ’no win’ situation for Pakistan right from the beginning and for the US in the long run.

Arundhati Roy has forcefully put her views in her foreword to “For Reasons of State” to show the real face of US and what it is capable of doing. She says “After announcing air strikes against Afghanistan Bush had said, “We are a peaceful nation” He went on to say, “This is the calling of USA, the most free nation in the world, a nation built on fundamental values, that reject hate, rejects violence, rejects murderers, rejects evil. And we will not tire.”

Arundhati Roy says, “The US empire rests on grisly foundation: the massacre of millions of indigenous people, stealing their lands, and following this, the kidnapping and enslavement of millions of black people from Africa to work that land. Thousands died on the seas while they were being shipped like caged cattle across continents. Stolen from Africa, brought to AmericaBob Marley’s “Buffalo Soldier” contains a whole universe of unspeakable sadness. It tells of the loss of dignity, the loss of wilderness, the loss of freedom, the shattered pride of a people. Genocide and slavery provide the social and economic underpinning of the nation whose fundamental values reject hate, murderers and evil.”  

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Happy

Sixty Years

 

Happy Sixty years! we have no sense of queue!
Happy Sixty years! drivers haven’t got a clue!
’Road signs!?’
’Decorative symbols and lines!’
Happy Sixty years! 

’Pedestrian rights’, did someone say?
’Zebra crossing!’ wondering, by the way?
Deadlier are national hospitals,
Assuring you ’You are mortals’
Happy Sixty years! 

Independence!, Independence!, Independence!
And now, for each other, zero tolerance,
Suzerains are stronger, poor are weaker,
Larger is the gap of difference,
Happy Sixty years! 

Absconders get to rule,
The rest wait for the gruel!
Saviours are in retail!
Civilians’ sufferings are much detailed.
Happy Sixty years! 

And yet no system for drainage,
Here and there we dump the wastage,
Gluttony is glory! Bribery is right!
Progress of mighty mites!
Corruption on further heights,
Happy Sixty years!
 

- By Yawar Ali Kazmi

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Devastating monsoon and disaster management
By Zulfiqar Halepoto

 

Recent reports by newspapers and NGOs say that more than 400 people have died in Sindh and Balochistan while 586 are missing in NWFP and Azad Kashmir as a result of floods in these provinces.

Official figures also indicate that the death toll from floods stands at 340, with 180 killed in Balochistan, 120 in Sindh and 60 iii NWFE Thousands of people Save been shifted to 20 camps set up in Balochistan and over 90 ih Sindh, while the devastation continues.

During the last two weeks, at least 60 more villages in Sindh, most of them located in and around Dadu, have been flooded, after water traveled down waterways from Balochistan. Large scale flooding was reported on July 16 after fresh rains further tip stream.

The National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) said, 9,000 people in Balochistan and at least 22,000 in Sindh live m camps where food supplies and medicines are reaching them. However, Farooq Baloch living in Dadu but having family links in the neighbouring areas of Balochistan has claimed that, ”People in Jaffarabad and Naseerabad districts on the eastern border of Balochistan have in some cases received almost no aid and diseases are spreading there. ”

It is stated that floods have affected 1,400 villages in Sindh and 5,000 in Balochistan. There were 73 camps in Shahdadkot and 24 in Dadu accommodating 12,344 and 10,000 people while there are 9,000 people in 20 camps in Balochistan, Almost two million people in Balochistan and 200,000 in Sindh have been affected. 73 relief camps have been established in Shahdadkot-the most affected district of Sindh-, 44 relief camps have been set up in Balochistan.

In the provinces, hundreds of army and paramilitary forces are taking part in the relief operations. Officials say that road and train links have been totally destroyed. Thousands have taken shelter near railway stations as relief teams drop food and emergency medicines from air. Balochistan has been the worst affected with three million people marooned and thousands of others cut off from their villages,

Management failures: It is said that if Karachi was to be hit by an earthquake similar to the one in Kashmir in 2005, it may lead to deaths to 3-5 million people.

During the official briefing to the president and the prime minister, NDMA officials confessed that one of the major reason for such a large number of casualties in the Kashmir earthquake was the inefficiency in managing the disaster of such a magnitude.

Two years have already passed but the country is still far a way from achieving any such efficient planning or management system.

The Federal Flood Commission (FFC), the Emergency Relief Cell (ERC), the Pakistan Meteorological Department and the Civil Defence- the main agencies for tackling disasters and relief management-have no solid performance to boast of in this regard. The country faces monsoon disasters for the last 60 years but only this year the government realised that there should be a plan to meet the collateral disaster of flood and rain.

The Chief Meteorologist, Shaukat Ali Awan announced last week that a comprehensive plan has been finalised to install flood warnings and radar systems in NWFP, Sindh and Balochistan. He said that the basic aim of installing the radar system was to ensure accurate prediction of rainfall duration.

A radar system has already been installed at Mangla Dam. Another radar system upgraded at Lahore and one also has been installed in Sialkot in collaboration with the Federal Flood Commission for forecasting floods in river Chenab.

Relief activism: Dealing with damages of flood and rain havoc covers a package of integrated relief delivery system which includes cluster activities, national international relief coordination ensuring provision of shelter cluster, camp management, water and sanitation (WATSAN), education/logistics/gender clusters and sensitive voluntarism, etc

The NDMA reported that shelter is the greatest need for Sindh and Balochistan followed by food, potable water and essential medicines. Spontaneous settlements established primarily along roadsides, however remain a concern.

Three geographical priority regions have been identified according to needs basis:

Priority 1: Dadu and Kambar districts (Sindh);
Priority 2: Sibi, Bolan, Jhal Magsi, Naseerabad, Jaffarabad (Balochistan) and
Priority 3: Kharan and Turbat (Balochistan)

There is also a strong need to develop a networking of other organisations that are critical components of a disaster planning which includes: fire, police, health, meteorological, agricultural, irrigation, forest, transport and food departments, ambulance services, telephone and utility companies, hospitals, armed forces, coast guards and Rangers, Suparco, the nuclear regulatory body, airport/railways/seaports’ authorities, environmental/building-control and water management authorities, besides municipal corporations, public and industry representatives, NGOs and volunteer organisations.

Though the foreign donors have pledged over $6 million for the people hit by recent rains and floods, it is basically a sustainable disaster management that can provide relief to the affected persons. 

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